The 2437 Point Is Not Stable &Nbsp; Big Cap Stocks Decide To Break Through The Direction.

Shanghai and Shenzhen this week

First of all, although the short-term market continues to remain weak, signs of "soft landing" appear.

For example, although early this week, as the overseas market plummeted and continued to explore the bottom, the decline of stock index in both places was significantly smaller than that in overseas markets.

This phenomenon also occurred before and after September 6th of this year.

Secondly, the gap in the early days of this week was rapidly recharged in a few days. This is the third time since the middle of August, which shows that the ability to withstand falls in the following 2500 points is strengthened.

Finally, the market has shrunk dramatically, the chip lock up has been strengthened, and the market value is low, and the valuation margin has become apparent.

Of course, the possibility of "salted fish turn over" in the short term market is also unlikely to turn the tide.

The turmoil in the overseas market and the continued debt crisis in Europe have seen the sustained "soft landing" of the macro economy and the repeated decline in the inflation rate. The monetary policy is difficult to relax significantly, the stock market's earnings effect is scarce, and the incremental capital is hard to find. All these restrict the strength of the short-term market.

At the same time, from the point of view of the market, the market is expected to be cautious, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere and a weak sense of participation.

Therefore, overall, the market is still dominated by concussion, waiting patiently for the dawn.

Next week's trend is flat.

Midline trend

Next week's 2440-2520 points

Next week, hot ST plates and small cap stocks.

Next week, the focus will be 2437 support.

Stage lows are forming.

This week, the market bottom picked up, and on Tuesday, it broke down, leaving a 2487-2477 downward gap, but it quickly recovered in Thursday's upturn. This week's cross star has been adjusted for a long time, which indicates that the bulls are beginning to fight back.

This week's continuous volume indicates the end of the energy supply to the end, but it lacks catalyst to stimulate market confidence and induce strong rebound.

In general, the bottom of valuation and the bottom of policy have been basically established. At present, the market is at the bottom of the market, and the low level is forming.

At present, the A share market has enlarged the European debt problem, and there has been a weak style of "going up or down". In fact, the European debt problem has not been very scary for China.

From the point of view of exports, the euro area accounts for about 14%-16% of China's export market, and Italy, Greece, Spain and Portugal account for 16% of the total value of Europe. That is to say, the four countries account for about 2% of China's total exports, and the worst is not ten points.

From a capital perspective, the depreciation of the euro relative to the US dollar has led to the depreciation of European assets. The key to solving the European debt problem is to issue bonds and sell assets, which is a good opportunity for China to acquire high-quality assets and technology.

In the short term, the eurozone's debt chains bind all the interests of the European Union, and all euro zone countries will not give up voluntarily, especially in Germany and France.

Moodie lowered the ratings of the French agricultural credit bank and 13.04,0.04,0.31%, but the capital market did not fall. The news that the German and French companies were able to launch Greek and European bonds after the three telephone conference eased the worries of the market to a certain extent.

Of course, as long as the European debt problem has not been fundamentally solved, it will continue to disturb the market repeatedly.

Dialectically, the turbulence in the financial market is exactly the expression of the expected risk release. When there is only risk in the eyes, it means that after the crisis, it may be a turning point.

The gloomy economic outlook in Europe and America also relieves external inflation pressure and is conducive to the improvement of the domestic market environment.

At present, it is not a comprehensive crisis like 08 years. China's dependence on foreign demand has been greatly reduced. In the future, due to the two bottom of the European and American economies, China's economy has greatly increased.

Technology, "foresight, then see the land price", since September most of the Shanghai stock market turnover volume less than 60 billion yuan, in September 6th, 50 billion 100 million and September 16th 49 billion 500 million volume reached a 14 month low, approaching 44 billion 800 million points at the bottom of the 2319 volume, indicating that the market continues to adjust the space is limited.

The market pessimism has become the mainstream. In early September, the proportion of A shares accounts for all A shares accounts for 6% in the beginning of the week. According to experience, when the account activity reaches or below 6%, the market tends to form a periodic bottom.

Although the Shanghai stock index formed a 2636 and 2616 high point for the double headed, the neck line 2507 points of the head, the measured decline is near 2378 points, but the real turn of the market is often the most ugly appearance.

From the spatial point of view, according to the K-line chart of logarithmic coordinates, the three famous low points in the history of Shanghai stock market, that is, the connection of 95-998-1664, constitutes the most original rising trend line. At present, the trend line is near 2500 points, while the 998-1664 point original rising trend line will have a strong supporting role. At present, the trend line will form the strongest support behind the 2260 points.

From the wave theory, the 3067 high point starts the adjustment wave of 5-3-5, the 2610 low point to the 2825 high point is ABC's 3 wave form as the characteristic rebound wave, then launches 5 waves to fall, the 2636 high point launches fifth wave adjustment is marching to the end, then is expected to launch the X wave rebound.

On the whole, the characteristics of market bottom are beginning to appear.

The market is born in fear, rising in hesitation and dying in joy.

2826 the market temperature boiled boiled frog has ended since the high point. Next, it should be the time when the frog jumps and jumps.

From the point of view of investment, the decline in future foreign demand or the pformation of domestic policies to the direction of stimulating domestic demand, the concept of western development, the emerging industries,