How Does The Macroeconomic Situation Affect The Confidence Of "Made In China" Enterprises?

Pan Jiancheng, deputy director of China Economic Prosperity Monitoring Center, National Bureau of Statistics

This is Pan Jiancheng's presentation at the "2011 Annual Conference on economy and information technology" jointly sponsored by ENI economic and Information Technology Council, China software industry association finance and enterprise management software sub committee and ERP world network.

According to the relevant data, although the feeling of the entrepreneurs is very uneven, the real economy is not bad. Our growth rate is still higher than that of other emerging economies.

In the 1-11 month, the primary industry invested 625 billion 600 million yuan, an increase of 28.8% over the same period last year; the second industry invested 118054 billion yuan, an increase of 27%; third industries invested 145142 billion yuan, an increase of 22.4%.

Industrial investment of 115046 billion yuan, an increase of 26.8%; of which, the mining industry invested 994 billion 500 million yuan, an increase of 19.4%; the manufacturing industry invested 92239 billion yuan, an increase of 31.5%.

In the case of excess capacity and fierce competition, if we relax our money and stimulate investment, it will be like drinking poison to quench thirst.

"GDP per capita is not more than $1000 to more than $4000, and the current cardinal number is not the same as 10 years ago. Looking forward to 2003-2007 years of high growth and low inflation is unrealistic."

The current situation is quite different from that of the international financial crisis in 2008. The number of workers in the current scale of more than 20 million yuan (31.1 000) has reached 87 million 600 thousand, which is close to 5 million of the original scale (44.1 000) a year ago. The percentage of economists who have agreed with the "Lewis turning point" has not accounted for the absolute proportion, and the current economic growth is favorable for easing the difficulty of recruiting workers.

The problem lies in the small and micro enterprises, in which SMEs financing is also a big problem.

But the problem is not the decline of economic growth, nor the excessive macro-control, but the need to innovate and pform the way of economic development.

At this point, the judgment of economists and entrepreneurs shows striking agreement.

Integrating into the global market, we will plan the future development direction of enterprises in a global perspective; Deepening China's efforts to tap the internal demand of the local market to stimulate a new round of growth may be the two pillars for Chinese manufacturing enterprises to cope with the changes in the international and domestic situation.

As the strategic partner of this year's meeting, Mr. Chen Guo, vice partner of IBM global business consulting service, has made the main thrust of the theme "looking for a way to pform and upgrade China's manufacturing industry". Combined with the development history of IBM, it made specific suggestions for the pformation and upgrading of Chinese manufacturing enterprises.

Zhao Jingguang, deputy secretary and spokesman of Beiqi Futian Motor Company Limited, introduced the growth path of Foton automobile to build the world's first commercial vehicle company. The vice president of Tiens Group, Yan Yupeng, shared the global road of Tianshi group from the perspective of cultural dissemination.

Mr. Rotherland Hudhuz, ambassador from the Bosnia and Herzegovina ambassador to China, Mr. diplomat of the Jordanian embassy in China, made a special trip to the conference hall and sent a warm invitation to Chinese entrepreneurs.