Home >

Chen Zhiwu: No Capital Market &Nbsp; Enterprises Should Be Raised By Their Sons Instead Of Being Sold Like Pigs.

2012/3/16 17:53:00 9

Capital Market Reform And Entrepreneurship

In March 15th, the 2012 Forbes China potential investment forum was held in Beijing.

On the forum, Mr. Chen Zhiwu, chief financial adviser of Yale University, Professor of finance economics, made the first speech.


First, thank you very much.

Forbes China

Today, I find that if I have too many things to prepare, I will not be able to speak well.

Today, I am very glad to have this opportunity to spend 30 minutes with you to share with you about the relationship between wealth creation and the capital market. Or the capital market for China today, whether it is billionaire or billionaire, or the relationship between the billionaires and the billionaires.


Let me start with Ma Huateng's story as a starting point.


A few years ago, in 2009 and 2010, Forbes's list of China's richest men saw 50 billion yuan of personal wealth, the first of the high-tech rich list - Ma Huateng's fortune was in the position of about 50000000000 yuan.

In any case, in fact, it is very interesting from the perspective of our academic research. Today, Tencent has a market value of 400 billion in recent years, though it is only 15 years.


In 2004, when the Tencent just went public, the closing price at that time accumulated over 50 times in the past seven or eight years. This wealth story has brought us great thoughts.

In particular, the discussion on the income gap in China is also very intense. In fact, the discussion on the wealth gap is not only in China, but also in the United States and other developed countries.


In fact, let's think about it carefully. Why? From a biological standpoint or a wealth distribution perspective, not only in the US and the developed countries, but also in China, the gap is getting bigger and bigger. My article says that if you look at the eighteen China in ninth Century, the so-called richest people in China could enter the list of China's richest people.

Today's wealth of China enters Forbes's list of rich people, which needs to be calculated in billions.

Today, the gap between the rich and the poor is indeed very large. Compared with the eighteen China in ninth Century, it is indeed a very big change.


  

capital market

The existence of capital market has played a very important role in changing the wealth of Chinese people.

I would like to give you a simple answer to the following question: Why did Ma Huateng just have billions of personal wealth just now? How much capital market and equity market have played?

We might as well have a simple calculation here. If the stock of Tencent company is not listed today, how much is Ma Huateng's personal wealth? And we know that according to the stock market now, the stock of Tencent will return to our personal wealth of Ma Huateng for almost 8 years or so. If there is no Hongkong or the United States, the mainland stock market will provide Tencent with the opportunity to offer the listed company trading opportunities for the Qihoo company, then how much can Ma Huateng own personal wealth?

I simply counted it, because he shares the shares of Tencent about 14%, and we Chinese Zhang three are rich. Li Si is also very rich. Before we had no capital market, we used to say Zhang three was rich, and Li four had what money reflected. He made a lot of money and didn't spend it all together. In his pocket, his family had plenty of money left in the bank.


Think back to it. When there is no capital market and no stock market in China, we Chinese say who is rich is what he has not spent in the past and become rich.

In 2004, the profit of Tencent was 440 million. By 2011, it would be 8 billion 100 million yuan. If the annual profit of 14% over the past years has been calculated again, if the wealth is equal to the estimated income in the past, then the personal wealth of Ma Huateng is 2 billion 700 million yuan, so we see where the difference is.


For Ma Huateng, there is a capital market and no capital market, which is very different for his personal income.

What's the result? There are developed stock market societies, personal wealth, and the market value of the enterprise is the discount value of future income.

In other words, in front of us, in other articles, I also mentioned that after the capital market, the wealth of Chinese today is not only a continuation of the past income, but also the discount value of future income expectation.

The value of reinvestment depends on the discount value of expected revenue, because the capital market provides pricing and cash reallocation mechanism - conspiracy pricing.


Nor is it right now that Wall Street financiers, entrepreneurs are darker than before, and exploitation is longer than before. This is not the same thing at all. This is a fundamental change in the computer system of the financial capital market.

Today we can see that in fact, a fundamental change has taken place in the concept and connotation of Chinese enterprises and traditional Chinese enterprises.


Today's capital market has actually affected the economic situation.

If there is no capital market, enterprises should be raised as sons instead of selling like pigs.

Do I sell the enterprises like pigs? The premise is whether the capital market is active. The capital market I speak of is not only the stock market, the private equity, the M & a market, but also the angel investment is a complex multilevel and multi-level capital market.


Because of this, in past articles, "no business is not rich," and now it is "no equity is not rich".

The value of corporate equity is very different from that of products and services in terms of quantity.

Just now we talked about the wealth story of Tencent. Ma Huateng's wealth story seems very encouraging.

Like Qihoo, Tencent, Sina, and other companies, in the past these years have provided a lot of valuable strength, young people, middle-aged people want to go one by one themselves.

Entrepreneurship

  • Related reading

Sun Liping: The Biggest Obstacle To Reform Is The Pattern Of Vested Interests.

Expert commentary
|
2012/3/16 17:49:00
15

Speed Up Adjustment And Optimization Of Industrial Structure

Expert commentary
|
2012/3/16 14:24:00
12

Timely Introduction Of Bank Capital Risk Supervision Rules

Expert commentary
|
2012/3/16 14:07:00
7

Xue Manzi: The Most Economical And Convenient Way To Use Internet Is To Save Money.

Expert commentary
|
2012/3/16 12:22:00
29

Du Pin: The Current Macro-Control Faces Four Major Problems.

Expert commentary
|
2012/3/16 12:07:00
19
Read the next article

Jack'S Eighth China Clothing Brand Annual Award Wins The Annual Brand

Sponsored by the China Fashion Association, the "Jack eighth China clothing brand annual award" will be held in Beijing theatre in March 25th. The name of the new Jack sewing machine Limited by Share Ltd will be the "annual brand" of the "grand prize". Who will become the new model brand of the Chinese garment industry? So strong brand lineup is worth our expectation.