Future Forecast Of World Economic Situation In 2016

With regard to the US economy, the US economy will grow by 2%-3% in 2016. The US market is a market that other countries can rely on for economic growth. However, the competition in the US market is fierce. The emerging economies have entered the US market and begun to compete.

Yes Emerging economies In 2016, it will continue to be a difficult year. First, the speed of China's economic growth will slow down and its subsequent impact. The two is the Fed's interest rate hike and its impact. However, the economy of the emerging economies will still grow, if they abandon the emerging markets such as mainland China or India. Middle class It would be unwise.

For enterprises, corporate profits will decline in 2016. First, the growth rate of emerging economies will slow down, two is wage increases, the three is tightened regulation and anti-monopoly enforcement, and the three forces will make the industry's prospects unoptimistic.

In the developed economies, the US economy is at its best. about Eurozone Economies such as Germany, France and other euro zone economies benefited from loose monetary policy. It is expected that the euro area will continue its current growth trend in 2016, but the Greek problem will be confused from time to time.

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On Friday (January 8th), at the beginning of the Asian market, the euro and the yen maintained a solid rally against the dollar, which had been driven up by the short back subsidy. Meanwhile, the warming of risk aversion was a blow to commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar.

Investors are anxiously waiting for the central parity of the yuan against the US dollar to see whether the PBOC will allow further devaluation of the yuan. If the yuan continues to depreciate, it may increase the pressure on regional currencies and benefit the Japanese yen.

Oddly, however, the euro was one of the few currencies that had outperformed the yen in the previous trading session, and the euro rebounded to 128.50 from the 8 half month low of 126.79.

At the same time, the euro / dollar rose to the top of the 1.0900 line, after a 1.4% rise, setting the biggest one-day gain in 1 months.

The unexpected strong trend of the euro makes CitiFX analysts doubt whether the euro is a new hedge currency.

In a report to customers, CitiFX analyst said, "it has not yet been concluded that it may be due to stock market or warehouse position, and whether the upward trend of the previous trading day is partly driven by fundamentals. But on the whole, the performance of data is different.